RESEARCH REPORT
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The con lict in Afghanistan that spans over four decades has led to signi icant
destruction of the country’s physical infrastructures, governance institutions, and
human capital. The con lict has caused the death and injury of more than two million
people where more than 100,000 civilians have been killed or wounded since 2009. It
has also led to protracted and large-scale displacement of Afghans, adding to the
implications of the con lict. The growing con lict has led the country into a situation of
humanitarian crisis as the number of Afghan refugees reaches 2.6 million with another
3 million Afghans remaining internally displaced. In 2020 alone, 380,000 Afghans
experienced con lict-induced displacement, 868,000 returned from Iran, 860,000
from Pakistan and further 7,900 individuals were deported from Turkey. Meanwhile,
deportation continues unabated from the EU member states despite a marked
escalation in violence and an exacerbating humanitarian situation. Studies by IOM and
UNHCR suggest that one in every four Afghan has been displaced at least once in a
lifetime and more than half of the uprooted population has experienced multiple
displacements over the course of con lict’s transformation.
Protracted displacement has contributed to the development of a complex
humanitarian situation in the country. In 2017, the UN reclassi ied Afghanistan as an
active con lict as violent incidents rose to 80 per day when the Islamic State Khorasan
Province’s (ISKP) began a sectarian war, leading to high civilian casualties. In 2018,
about 3.3 million Afghans were assessed with acute humanitarian needs whilst 8.7
million in chronic need. In 2020, one third of Afghan population was characterized as
food insecure and about 4 million in emergency situation, marking a dramatic rise in
humanitarian needs of the country, predominately caused by con lict.
The causal factors of large displacement are multifaceted and complex. However, the
conduct (e.g., violence) of the parties to the con lict are the prime drivers of
displacement. Taliban were reported to be responsible for the displacement of 93
percent of the research respondents. A total of 66 percent speci ically attributed their
displacement to the cross ire between the Taliban and the Afghanistan National
Defense and Security Forces (ANDSF). About 14 percent attributed the source of their
displacement to local con lict actors, such as, tribal chiefs, community leaders,
warlords and other armed groups that compete over in luence and illicit economic
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